ULM and Texas State have a combined record of 6-8, and haven’t exactly played powerhouses either. This matchup between Sun Belt foes isn’t bound to garner much attention. That’s a steep drop-off, and while the last two games against Georgia and Mississippi State had a lot to do with it, there were warning signs already.”įinal Score Prediction: Tennessee 28, Kentucky 24 | Tennessee -1 ULM (+3.5) at Texas State In six games since, they’ve had a success rate of 51.2% and averaged 1.84 points per possession.
In their first two games against ULM and Missouri, the offense had a success rate of 54.4% and averaged 3.2 points per possession. “The Wildcats came into the 2021 season with a new offense that nobody had seen yet and the early results were impressive. “I have a sneaking suspicion that Kentucky has been exposed,” Fornelli wrote. Can Kentucky get back on track this week? 11 in the AP poll following victories against Florida and LSU. 18 KentuckyĪfter starting as one of the hottest teams in the country, Kentucky has cooled off considerably. When the clock doesn’t stop, it limits the overall number of possessions each team has, which puts a serious cap on how many points will be scored.”įinal Score Prediction: Army 21, Air Force 14 | Under 37 Tennessee (-1) at No. When teams run the ball, the clock does not stop. “Those are the two highest rushing rates in the country (Navy, another option offense, is third). “Army runs the ball 89.1% of the time, while Air Force runs 87.8% of the time,” he wrote. Fornelli suggests this is because of the run-option offensive schemes we often see, and Saturday should be no different. Since 2005, the under is 39-9-1 in games between service academies, indicating that it is historically a smart bet. The two military schools will meet this weekend in a matchup that is usually more entertaining than not. “When I look at this matchup, I see a result that can go a lot of different ways, but more of them will finish below this total than above it,” Fornelli wrote.įinal Score Prediction: Michigan State 28, Purdue 20 | Under 53.5 Army at Air Force (Under 37) Still, don’t expect a ton of offense in this one, as Fornelli points out in his Week 10 college football predictions
The Boilermakers boast perhaps the best receiver in the Big Ten in David Bell (786 yards, four touchdowns). Running back Kenneth Walker III propelled himself to the top of the Heisman race with a 197-yard, five-touchdown performance. 3 Michigan State at Purdue (Under 53.5)Ĭoming off of their biggest win of the season against rival Michigan, the Spartans will look to stay unbeaten against Purdue. The crescendo was the win over Alabama, but he’s continued putting up solid numbers against Missouri and South Carolina.”įinal Score Prediction: Texas A&M 27, Auburn 20 | Under 49.5 No.
“To Zach Calzada’s credit, he’s improved seemingly every week as Texas A&M’s starting quarterback after a slow start. “Do you trust either of these offenses right now?” he wrote.